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Measures announced last week are helpful but much more is needed to tackle the housing crisis, writes David Orr
It was billed as the ‘Housing Budget’.
This would, at last, be the point at which the government would deliver a Budget designed to support the building of 300,000 new homes a year.
In the run up, the secretary of state for communities and local government proposed to the chancellor that the nation should borrow £50bn to support new supply.
The chancellor himself set the target of 300,000 new homes.
A month ago, in her conference speech, the prime minister described fixing the broken housing market as the defining issue of her premiership.
So to the Budget. An eye-catching £44bn was the figure at the centre of it.
There were plenty of measures to support SME builders back into the market, to remediate contaminated brownfield sites, to encourage developers to build out consented sites much more quickly and the removal of stamp duty on the purchase of most homes bought by first-time buyers.
There was even, as promised by the prime minister, £2bn to support subsidised homes for social rent and a significant change in the design of Universal Credit.
“Guarantees are useful, but not in fact real money.”
A promise, then, delivered?
Frustratingly, not – or at least not at a level that will deliver a sustained step change in new supply.
The £44bn included only £15bn of new money, and of that £8bn was in the form of guarantees.
Useful, but not in fact real money.
Even the promises to do more on speeding up planning and land supply were stronger on identification of the problem than on strong measures to fix it.
This week, I spent two hours being one of a panel of three (along with Brian Berry of the Federation of Master Builders and Nick Forbes, leader of Newcastle City Council) giving evidence to the Treasury Select Committee on the housing measures in the Budget.
This consisted of a series of thoughtful questions about the full range of issues in the Budget, to which nearly every answer was a variant on “yes, it’s a useful measure, but it doesn’t go far enough”.
“Anyone who thinks £2bn for social rent is enough is living in cloud cuckoo land.”
At one point, we were asked whether the £2bn for social rent is enough. I must confess my answer was to suggest anyone who thinks it’s enough is living in cloud cuckoo land. I also said that I don’t think anyone in government believes it is enough.
We need to regard it as a down payment – and a huge step forward after a period of seven years where there has been no financial support from government for social rent.
But it goes nowhere near the £7bn a year Savills consider necessary in a recent report.
The same is true of the changes to Universal Credit.
“The Universal Credit model still assumes that people have to get used to a working world where salaries are paid monthly.”
Removing the one-week wait at the start is helpful and the decision to allow a two-week transition period where housing benefit will continue to be paid recognises that this is a real problem.
These are big and welcome steps forward. But the model still assumes that people have to get used to a working world where salaries are paid monthly.
This is just not the case for millions of people in the gig economy, in insecure work where payments are weekly, fortnightly, or even sometimes daily.
We have asked the government to be bold (I think I used the word muscular) in its approach to land purchase and assembly, using compulsory purchase powers to ensure we have the land we need to build on. We have suggested that there should be no more price-based competitions for the sale of public land and that public land should first and foremost be used for the benefit of the public.
That would be real value for money and ensure that the value that comes from a residential planning consent would be in the new development rather than lost to the landowner.
When we were building 300,000 homes or more every year in the 1950s and 1960s, these were the measures used by government.
We have a broken housing market. It should be a clear national priority to fix it. As Theresa May said: it is the defining issue of our time.
“The requirement to be bold doesn’t rest just with the government.”
I really don’t want all this to sound as though I am damning with faint praise.
After six years where most government decisions made it more difficult to build new homes and great places, we now have a range of decisions that are clearly and significantly helpful.
We have more money and the political wind in our sails.
The requirement to be bold doesn’t rest just with the government. It rests with everyone who has a contribution to make to fixing our broken market.
Housing associations are already demonstrating a clear commitment to doing just this.
In the past two years they have built nearly 80,000 new homes, and last year they started work on 13% more new homes than in 2015/16.
Our sector’s boldness and commitment will help.
The truth remains that it is only muscular intervention by government that will deliver transformational change. At least for now, that seems not to be on the table.
David Orr, chief executive, National Housing Federation
Larger than life NHF chief executive David Orr meets Pete Apps to discuss the changing political climate and the route forward for the sector.
Click here to read our September 2017 interview